Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.001008 0.001142 0.001282 0.001441 0.001615 0.001799 0.002008
2025-03-09 0.000766 0.000947 0.001151 0.001394 0.001677 0.001992 0.002368
2025-03-16 0.000635 0.000834 0.001067 0.001359 0.001708 0.002112 0.002609
2025-03-23 0.000549 0.000762 0.001021 0.001355 0.001770 0.002261 0.002882
2025-03-30 0.000484 0.000705 0.000984 0.001354 0.001827 0.002400 0.003139
2025-04-06 0.000425 0.000649 0.000942 0.001341 0.001863 0.002511 0.003362
2025-04-13 0.000372 0.000595 0.000895 0.001317 0.001881 0.002594 0.003549
2025-04-20 0.000344 0.000573 0.000890 0.001345 0.001965 0.002762 0.003843
2025-04-27 0.000317 0.000549 0.000878 0.001362 0.002034 0.002911 0.004116
2025-05-04 0.000284 0.000512 0.000846 0.001348 0.002058 0.002998 0.004309
2025-05-11 0.000252 0.000474 0.000810 0.001324 0.002066 0.003064 0.004473
2025-05-18 0.000234 0.000457 0.000802 0.001341 0.002130 0.003205 0.004739
2025-05-25 0.000216 0.000438 0.000789 0.001350 0.002185 0.003337 0.004999
2025-06-01 0.000189 0.000401 0.000748 0.001314 0.002172 0.003374 0.005129
2025-06-08 0.000165 0.000367 0.000708 0.001278 0.002156 0.003404 0.005249
2025-06-15 0.000150 0.000348 0.000691 0.001275 0.002190 0.003505 0.005468
2025-06-22 0.000137 0.000331 0.000676 0.001274 0.002225 0.003608 0.005691
2025-06-29 0.000123 0.000312 0.000654 0.001262 0.002241 0.003683 0.005876
2025-07-06 0.000109 0.000290 0.000628 0.001239 0.002240 0.003731 0.006021
2025-07-13 0.000104 0.000285 0.000630 0.001265 0.002316 0.003896 0.006337
2025-07-20 0.000098 0.000277 0.000628 0.001282 0.002378 0.004038 0.006623
2025-07-27 0.000088 0.000261 0.000608 0.001268 0.002389 0.004105 0.006800
2025-08-03 0.000078 0.000243 0.000585 0.001245 0.002385 0.004148 0.006940